Due to unavoidable reasons, Health Director-General Tan Sri Dr. Noor Hisham Abdullah has called off his press conference for today (23th October) which covers Covid-19 related updates in the country. Instead, the Ministry of Health (MoH) announced that a media release on new Covid-19 updates will be released at 5.30pm.
Meanwhile, Malaysia is entering the “pandemic containment” critical window as experts agree that active Covid-19 cases will cross the 10,000 mark by 4th November and peak at a maximum of 14,000 to 15,000 cases.
Medical lecturer Dr Safiya Amaran, an expert in public health at Universiti Sultan Zainal Abidin, said that Covid-19 cases might reach ‘a tipping point’ in Selangor, the most densely populated state, after Sabah.
She said that a group of academics who collaborated on the Covid-19 Malaysia and Prediction info site and Universiti Teknologi Malaysia (UTM) simulation expert Professor Dr. Shuhaimi Mansor found that Covid-19 cases would breach the 10,000 mark by 4th November.
She said that the two-week conditional movement control order (CMCO) was appropriate as the number of cases reported at the end of this initial period would give medical experts an indication on whether the CMCO would be extended after its suppose end on 27th October.
Dr Malina Osman, epidemiologist and biostatistician, said that active cases would increase in early to mid-November, with a maximum of 14,000 to 15,000 cases reported at that time. Based on the trend, there will soon be an infringement of 8,000 active cases. If this continues, an estimated 10,000 active cases are likely to occur by the end of this month.
“If the SOP is adhered alongside all precautionary measures enforced, we will soon see a downward curve, but the situation in Sabah is difficult to control. It is more probable to see the approximate maximum active cases increase between 14,000 and 15,000 by mid-November” she said.
She said that while the government prohibited interstate and inter-district travel in red zones, it must also restrict social gatherings in green zones.
Source: New Straits Times